West Africa’s Fire Dynamics: Balancing Ecosystem Renewal and Carbon Loss

In the vast savannas of West Africa, fire is both a destructive force and a natural renewal process, shaping ecosystems and influencing carbon dynamics. A recent study, led by Boris Ouattara of the Institute of Climate-Smart Agriculture at the Thuenen Institute in Brunswick, Germany, has shed new light on the complex interplay between fire, vegetation recovery, and environmental factors in this critical region. Published in the *International Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation* (translated as *Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation*), the research offers insights that could reshape fire management strategies and inform energy sector investments.

Using high-resolution Harmonized Landsat-Sentinel (HLS) imagery and VIIRS active fire detections, Ouattara and his team mapped burned areas across a transboundary region spanning Burkina Faso, Ghana, and Côte d’Ivoire. The study, covering the decade from 2014 to 2023, revealed that over 80% of fires occurred between November and January, peaking in December. Despite fluctuations, the overall burned area remained relatively stable, with an average annual increase of just 0.29%.

The research quantified the immediate impact of fires on Net Primary Productivity (NPP), finding that fires caused an average loss of approximately 11 × 10–2 Mg C ha−1 per year. “The most significant losses were observed in forested and high-biomass zones,” noted Ouattara. “However, recovery varied widely depending on the ecosystem type and environmental conditions.”

The study found that roughly 65% of burned areas recovered to pre-fire NPP levels within a year, primarily in grasslands and croplands. However, recovery in woody and mesic areas was slower and more variable. “It’s important to note that recovery was assessed in terms of carbon uptake, not structural biomass or species composition,” Ouattara emphasized. “Functional recovery does not necessarily imply full ecological recovery.”

Using machine learning, the researchers identified soil moisture and temperature as dominant predictors of recovery time. Soil fertility and water retention capacity also emerged as key drivers. Interestingly, fire frequency and land cover type had limited predictive power once climate and soil factors were accounted for, suggesting that environmental factors shape recovery more than fire regime characteristics.

The findings have significant implications for the energy sector, particularly for companies investing in bioenergy and carbon offset projects. Understanding the dynamics of fire and recovery can help optimize land management practices, ensuring sustainable resource use and carbon sequestration. “Well-timed, low-intensity fires—particularly early-season burns—can promote carbon resilience in fire-adapted landscapes,” Ouattara explained. “This underscores the value of high-resolution remote sensing and soil data in guiding fire-smart management and balancing ecological and livelihood goals under climate change.”

As climate change continues to alter fire regimes and ecosystem dynamics, the insights from this study will be crucial for developing adaptive management strategies. By integrating remote sensing data with machine learning, researchers and policymakers can make more informed decisions, ensuring that fire management practices support both ecological resilience and economic sustainability.

The research highlights the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration and the need for continued investment in high-resolution monitoring technologies. As Ouattara concluded, “Our findings support the idea that well-timed, low-intensity fires can promote carbon resilience. This is a critical consideration for the energy sector, as it navigates the complexities of sustainable land use and climate change mitigation.”

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