In the heart of Iran’s central basin, a critical study is shedding light on the drivers behind the evolution of land use and land cover (LULC) systems, with profound implications for the energy sector and sustainable development. Led by Mostafa Taleshi from the Department of Geography at Payame Noor University in Tehran, this research delves into the Koohpayeh-Segzi sub-basin, offering insights that could reshape how we approach land management and resource exploitation.
The study, published in the journal ‘کاوشهای جغرافیایی مناطق بیابانی’ (Explorations in Arid Regions Geography), identifies key drivers that are transforming the landscape. “Weakness in rural planning and management, administrative corruption, and urban creep are among the critical factors influencing LULC changes,” explains Taleshi. These changes, if unchecked, could lead to severe economic, social, and environmental consequences, including degradation of underground water resources and threats to ecological security.
The research employs a combination of the fuzzy Delphi method, interaction analysis, and questioning techniques to pinpoint these drivers. By using open and closed questionnaires and MicMac software, Taleshi and his team identified 10 key drivers that are significantly impacting the LULC system. “Understanding these drivers is crucial for future spatial planning and sustainable land use,” Taleshi emphasizes.
The findings highlight the urgent need for policy revisions and the development of structured frameworks within custodial organizations. “It’s not just about identifying the problems but also about finding solutions that can be implemented effectively,” Taleshi notes. This research underscores the importance of foresight studies in predicting and mitigating potential critical trends, enabling decision-makers to plan more efficiently and develop preventive measures.
For the energy sector, the implications are substantial. Sustainable land use and management are essential for maintaining the stability of rural systems, which in turn supports the production of agricultural products and the preservation of natural resources. The study’s insights can guide energy companies in adopting more sustainable practices, ensuring that their operations do not contribute to land degradation or ecological threats.
As the world grapples with the challenges of climate change and resource depletion, this research offers a timely reminder of the need for integrated and forward-thinking approaches to land management. By addressing the drivers of LULC changes, we can pave the way for a more sustainable and resilient future. Taleshi’s work serves as a beacon, illuminating the path towards better land use practices and highlighting the critical role of foresight in shaping our environmental policies.